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Red115
590026.1
886635.9
418945.6
Blue112
34238.6
34350.4
281530.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94117050150200115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.6
37.138.7
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
blue by 4.9
343
#6
50.40.4
43.043.4
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.0
Second
8866
#20
35.91.6
30.432.0
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End5.8
blue by 2.7
342
#29
38.60.4
36.737.0
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3
Third
5900
#46
26.11.6
23.525.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
blue by 4.1
2815
#22
30.20.4
27.027.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned