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Red134
634138.1
126151.2
28146.9
Blue88
83228.4
110248.7
164818.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126935015020013488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
51.21.3
44.045.3
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 2.5
1102
#34
48.70.2
47.347.1
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
281
#7
46.91.3
37.939.2
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End6.3
red by 18.5
832
#30
28.40.2
27.727.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.7
Third
6341
#23
38.11.3
34.135.5
Auto12.7
Teleop16.2
End9.1
red by 19.7
1648
#48
18.30.2
16.316.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed