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Red125
529324.7
418945.6
453338.5
Blue68
241524.3
418837.2
175828.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103935015012568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.6
39.841.4
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
red by 8.4
4188
#26
37.21.7
31.629.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Second
4533
#24
38.51.6
34.636.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
red by 10.5
1758
#40
28.01.7
31.429.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Third
5293
#42
24.71.6
21.322.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
red by 0.4
2415
#43
24.31.7
25.423.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed