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Red132
451631.0
510937.6
174646.8
Blue88
168352.2
886518.6
349038.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110140608012014016018013288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#25
46.81.9
40.642.5
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
blue by 5.4
52.20.5
44.543.9
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
Second
5109
#32
37.61.9
38.240.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5
blue by 1.0
3490
#18
38.60.5
35.535.0
Auto12.8
Teleop19.1
End6.5
Third
4516
#39
31.01.9
24.426.3
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End7.1
red by 12.4
8865
#49
18.60.5
15.915.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed