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Red125
411229.4
168352.2
418945.6
Blue104
745133.9
334428.9
110248.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511490100110120130140125104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.3
43.945.2
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
red by 3.4
1102
#34
48.70.3
47.146.8
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
45.61.3
41.442.7
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
red by 11.7
7451
#17
33.90.3
34.133.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.8
Third
4112
#14
29.41.3
21.422.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
red by 0.4
3344
#47
28.90.3
27.627.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed