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Red96
886518.6
453338.5
451631.0
Blue106
857531.2
349038.6
602326.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819605015096106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#24
38.51.2
36.237.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
blue by 0.1
3490
#18
38.60.8
35.035.8
Auto12.8
Teleop19.1
End6.5
Second
4516
#39
31.01.2
26.327.5
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End7.1
blue by 0.2
8575
#11
31.20.8
26.727.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.7
Third
8865
#49
18.61.2
15.416.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End4.4
blue by 7.5
6023
#38
26.10.8
26.727.5
Auto11.8
Teleop8.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsMissed