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Red125
671238.6
348930.3
418837.2
Blue108
126151.2
131116.5
164818.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9781050150125108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#27
38.61.7
34.836.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.2
End6.0
blue by 12.6
1261
#13
51.22.0
45.347.3
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
Second
4188
#26
37.21.7
29.931.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 18.9
1648
#48
18.32.0
16.118.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Third
3489
#33
30.31.7
24.326.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
red by 13.8
1311
#50
16.52.0
16.618.6
Auto8.8
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned