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Red130
174646.8
753828.4
281530.2
Blue104
510937.6
682950.0
529324.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93125050150200250130104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#25
46.82.3
42.544.7
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
blue by 3.2
6829
#15
50.00.6
49.949.3
Auto14.6
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Second
2815
#22
30.22.3
28.731.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
blue by 7.4
5109
#32
37.60.6
40.139.5
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5
Third
7538
#19
28.42.3
20.022.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End5.3
red by 3.7
5293
#42
24.70.6
22.922.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned