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Red108
510937.6
381530.7
671238.6
Blue140
418945.6
813716.8
297456.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89113406080100120140160108140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#27
38.60.3
31.131.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.2
End6.0
blue by 18.3
56.91.8
57.659.4
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
5109
#32
37.60.3
34.034.3
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5
blue by 8.0
45.61.8
32.033.8
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
Third
3815
#28
30.70.3
21.321.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.1
End6.4
red by 13.9
8137
#45
16.81.8
13.114.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned