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Red95
131116.5
349038.6
334428.9
Blue119
929335.4
445152.4
529324.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110405015020025095119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#18
38.60.8
34.234.9
Auto12.8
Teleop19.1
End6.5
blue by 13.8
4451
#10
52.41.3
49.550.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
3344
#47
28.90.8
27.828.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End7.7
blue by 6.5
35.41.3
21.823.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End5.9
Third
1311
#50
16.50.8
16.517.2
Auto8.8
Teleop5.1
End2.6
blue by 8.2
5293
#42
24.71.3
23.224.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned