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Red74
873647.5
126151.2
886518.6
Blue133
691953.9
926039.1
886635.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107118608010014016018074133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
51.21.8
47.645.8
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
blue by 2.7
53.90.9
48.749.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
Second
8736
#16
47.51.8
36.534.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.3
End9.6
red by 8.4
9260
#31
39.10.9
32.133.0
Auto11.1
Teleop22.9
End5.2
Third
8865
#49
18.61.8
17.415.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End4.4
blue by 17.3
8866
#20
35.90.9
28.729.6
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned