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Red98
83228.4
381530.7
445152.4
Blue141
177152.2
691953.9
411229.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111385010015020098141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#10
52.41.0
50.549.5
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
blue by 1.5
53.90.7
52.052.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
Second
3815
#28
30.71.0
29.828.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.1
End6.4
blue by 21.4
52.20.7
51.352.0
Auto17.4
Teleop27.3
End6.7
Third
832
#30
28.41.0
27.526.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.7
blue by 1.0
4112
#14
29.40.7
22.723.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned