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Red134
128734.0
297456.9
110248.7
Blue112
634046.3
34238.6
529324.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310950200134112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.3
61.561.2
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 10.7
6340
#37
46.30.3
49.649.8
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
1102
#34
48.70.3
46.846.5
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
red by 10.1
342
#29
38.60.3
36.236.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3
Third
1287
#21
34.00.3
34.534.3
Auto6.6
Teleop21.6
End5.6
red by 9.3
5293
#42
24.70.3
22.322.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned