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Red118
470127.3
886635.9
418837.2
Blue113
682950.0
241524.3
590026.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710520406080120140160180118113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#26
37.21.7
31.633.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
blue by 12.8
6829
#15
50.00.7
49.350.0
Auto14.6
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Second
8866
#20
35.91.7
34.936.6
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End5.8
red by 9.8
5900
#46
26.10.7
25.326.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
Third
4701
#36
27.31.7
25.627.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.7
red by 2.9
2415
#43
24.30.7
22.823.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed