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Red111
141452.8
808026.1
813716.8
Blue135
110248.7
634138.1
281530.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92128050150200250111135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#12
52.80.3
48.849.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
red by 4.0
1102
#34
48.70.9
46.547.4
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
8080
#41
26.10.3
26.026.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End5.1
blue by 11.9
6341
#23
38.10.9
37.438.3
Auto12.7
Teleop16.2
End9.1
Third
8137
#45
16.80.3
16.016.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End5.0
blue by 13.3
2815
#22
30.20.9
32.133.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned