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Red120
297456.9
418837.2
857531.2
Blue104
813716.8
445152.4
886635.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391116080100120160180200220120104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.4
59.458.9
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 4.5
4451
#10
52.40.2
52.652.4
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
4188
#26
37.20.4
36.436.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
red by 1.3
8866
#20
35.90.2
38.738.5
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End5.8
Third
8575
#11
31.20.4
30.830.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.7
red by 14.4
8137
#45
16.80.2
16.416.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned