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Red116
450951.3
808026.1
451631.0
Blue92
381530.7
886518.6
334428.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118765010015020011692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.7
49.450.1
Auto14.2
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 20.6
3815
#28
30.70.7
30.030.7
Auto9.3
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Second
4516
#39
31.00.7
30.331.0
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End7.1
red by 2.1
3344
#47
28.90.7
28.228.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End7.7
Third
8080
#41
26.10.7
25.426.1
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End5.1
red by 7.5
8865
#49
18.60.7
17.918.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed