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Red144
126151.2
168352.2
348930.3
Blue135
141452.8
691953.9
411229.4
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14314680100120160180200220144135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.2
52.652.8
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
blue by 1.7
53.90.1
54.053.9
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
Second
1261
#13
51.20.2
51.651.8
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
blue by 1.6
1414
#12
52.80.1
52.952.8
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
Third
3489
#33
30.30.2
30.831.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
red by 1.0
4112
#14
29.40.1
29.529.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4