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Red174
34238.6
110248.7
34350.4
Blue111
348930.3
168352.2
126151.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151143120160180174111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#6
50.40.3
51.451.7
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.0
blue by 1.7
52.20.7
52.852.2
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
Second
1102
#34
48.70.3
49.750.0
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 2.5
1261
#13
51.20.7
51.851.2
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
Third
342
#29
38.60.3
39.639.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3
red by 8.3
3489
#33
30.30.7
31.030.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1