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Red153
411229.4
691953.9
141452.8
Blue167
174646.8
873647.5
28146.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144143135140150155160165153167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.4
53.654.0
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
red by 6.4
8736
#16
47.50.4
45.946.3
Auto12.5
Teleop25.3
End9.6
Second
1414
#12
52.80.4
52.552.9
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
red by 5.9
281
#7
46.90.4
45.345.7
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End6.3
Third
4112
#14
29.40.4
29.029.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
blue by 17.4
1746
#25
46.80.4
45.245.6
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9