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Red134
510937.6
297456.9
177152.2
Blue102
634138.1
929335.4
682950.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412950100200134102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.5
57.256.7
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 6.9
6829
#15
50.00.6
50.650.0
Auto14.6
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Second
52.20.5
52.451.9
Auto17.4
Teleop27.3
End6.7
red by 14.1
6341
#23
38.10.6
38.738.1
Auto12.7
Teleop16.2
End9.1
Third
5109
#32
37.60.5
37.937.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5
red by 2.2
35.40.6
36.035.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End5.9