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Red138
445152.4
453338.5
418945.6
Blue148
141452.8
691953.9
411229.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144144120130140150160170180138148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#10
52.40.1
52.352.4
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
blue by 1.5
53.90.3
54.054.2
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
Second
45.60.1
45.545.6
Auto14.4
Teleop23.3
End7.8
blue by 7.2
1414
#12
52.80.3
52.953.1
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
Third
4533
#24
38.50.1
38.438.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
red by 9.1
4112
#14
29.40.3
29.429.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4