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Red20
521910.4
590017.1
164812.3
Blue13
88657.9
75149.6
670518.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5761203040507080901002013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.13.8
20.316.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End8.0
blue by 1.5
18.64.9
23.318.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End7.1
Second
1648
#18
12.33.8
19.415.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End4.9
red by 2.6
7514
#19
9.64.9
17.913.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End3.9
Third
5219
#23
10.43.8
14.410.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End4.7
red by 2.5
8865
#25
7.94.9
15.610.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed