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Red24
808016.6
671222.9
688717.0
Blue49
83215.7
634037.6
710412.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52720204060801001201402449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.93.0
16.113.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End4.4
blue by 14.7
37.61.8
23.922.1
Auto11.1
Teleop19.3
End7.2
Second
6887
#11
17.03.0
15.612.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End6.1
red by 1.3
832
#22
15.71.8
21.820.0
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6
Third
16.63.0
19.616.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End4.9
red by 4.3
7104
#14
12.41.8
19.217.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed