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Red37
141430.9
565114.6
692516.8
Blue74
767613.4
177141.9
691013.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61692040801003774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.92.3
21.118.8
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End7.3
blue by 11.0
41.90.6
37.438.0
Auto16.0
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Second
6925
#18
16.82.3
17.214.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End5.8
red by 3.0
6910
#23
13.80.4
13.413.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End4.1
Third
5651
#16
14.62.3
19.617.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End5.2
red by 1.2
7676
#21
13.40.6
12.913.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned