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Red24
241515.2
753813.7
174624.9
Blue93
929310.9
908610.5
168342.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58603040507080902493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#10
24.93.4
21.317.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End9.6
blue by 17.2
42.12.4
35.037.5
Auto9.4
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Second
2415
#17
15.23.4
13.810.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.5
red by 4.3
9293
#24
10.94.1
10.915.0
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End2.1
Third
7538
#19
13.72.1
19.817.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 3.2
9086
#26
10.52.4
10.312.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsEarned