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Red213
111466.1
83651.6
300575.6
Blue190
167878.0
5957.1
347665.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187205100150250300213190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.60.6
75.676.2
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
blue by 2.4
78.00.5
78.978.4
Auto18.6
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
66.10.6
66.266.7
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
red by 1.0
65.10.5
66.165.5
Auto16.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
Third
836
#39
51.60.6
51.752.3
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
blue by 5.5
59
#13
57.10.8
57.957.1
Auto11.2
Teleop36.6
End8.8