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Red176
6765.6
672255.7
283039.9
Blue105
322932.0
803361.2
360335.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411650100150200176105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#11
65.61.9
64.966.8
Auto16.8
Teleop39.3
End7.4
red by 4.4
8033
#19
61.21.0
53.652.6
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
6722
#25
55.71.9
51.353.2
Auto15.3
Teleop33.1
End7.4
red by 20.3
3603
#44
35.41.0
34.033.0
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Third
2830
#58
39.91.9
33.635.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.7
End7.3
red by 7.9
3229
#71
32.01.0
26.725.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed