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Red139
558647.4
353648.4
96838.8
Blue173
442255.3
725840.6
83651.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11215050100200250139173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#29
48.41.9
43.245.1
Auto11.9
Teleop28.5
End7.0
blue by 6.9
4422
#40
55.32.1
55.457.6
Auto13.5
Teleop32.2
End8.4
Second
5586
#53
47.41.9
40.142.1
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.0
blue by 4.2
836
#39
51.62.1
50.152.3
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
Third
968
#35
38.81.9
26.628.5
Auto9.6
Teleop21.6
End8.1
blue by 1.8
7258
#15
40.62.8
30.433.3
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned