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Red152
580147.0
167878.0
399643.9
Blue116
271454.3
162241.9
238342.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175140100150200250152116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.00.5
76.375.8
Auto18.6
Teleop43.3
End11.7
red by 23.7
2714
#60
54.31.3
48.046.7
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
Second
5801
#27
47.00.5
46.546.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End9.3
red by 4.2
2383
#54
42.81.3
43.442.1
Auto9.7
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Third
3996
#23
43.90.7
42.341.6
Auto13.4
Teleop19.6
End10.5
red by 2.0
1622
#62
41.91.3
47.546.2
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned