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Red127
400943.3
910547.1
598759.4
Blue141
519957.8
725840.6
555735.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213950100200250127141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#33
59.40.9
56.956.0
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
red by 1.7
5199
#24
57.80.6
57.858.4
Auto12.9
Teleop34.9
End8.3
Second
9105
#43
47.10.9
46.045.1
Auto11.6
Teleop26.7
End8.0
red by 6.6
7258
#15
40.60.6
37.137.7
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End8.3
Third
4009
#37
43.30.9
43.242.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End6.1
red by 7.5
5557
#64
35.80.6
36.236.8
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsMissed65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned