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Red108
909711.5
70223.8
46161.7
Blue165
271454.3
580147.0
111466.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88183050150200250300108165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#45
61.70.9
60.961.8
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
blue by 4.4
66.10.3
64.865.1
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
Second
702
#75
23.80.9
23.624.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End5.4
blue by 30.5
2714
#60
54.30.3
52.853.2
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
Third
9097
#76
11.50.9
9.910.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 35.5
5801
#27
47.00.3
47.447.7
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned