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Red150
360335.4
263055.3
598534.3
Blue64
558647.4
304230.0
162241.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181405010020025015064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#14
55.32.4
50.352.7
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8
red by 7.9
5586
#53
47.44.3
50.145.8
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.0
Second
3603
#44
35.42.4
31.934.3
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
blue by 6.4
1622
#62
41.94.3
44.640.3
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End3.7
Third
5985
#55
34.32.4
31.433.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.2
red by 4.3
3042
#56
30.04.3
34.029.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed