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Red133
457132.0
542743.1
6765.6
Blue150
353951.1
159162.1
83651.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14716950100200250300133150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#11
65.60.5
67.166.7
Auto16.8
Teleop39.3
End7.4
red by 3.5
1591
#28
62.12.1
60.858.7
Auto17.2
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Second
5427
#63
43.10.5
44.644.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.4
End8.0
blue by 8.5
836
#39
51.62.1
49.847.7
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
Third
4571
#59
32.00.5
30.930.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.4
End8.4
blue by 19.0
51.12.1
54.051.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned