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Red129
478653.9
116523.6
442255.3
Blue118
448159.5
913825.1
670223.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149105050200250129118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#40
55.31.0
55.754.6
Auto13.5
Teleop32.2
End8.4
blue by 4.3
4481
#34
59.51.0
57.558.4
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
Second
4786
#26
53.91.0
54.353.3
Auto16.0
Teleop29.3
End7.9
red by 28.8
9138
#57
25.11.0
23.224.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End7.7
Third
1165
#50
23.61.0
24.223.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.5
End4.6
red by 0.7
6702
#65
23.01.0
23.024.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned