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Red175
46161.7
501055.3
765747.5
Blue111
283449.7
903122.3
558647.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175117050100150200250175111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#45
61.70.4
61.862.1
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
red by 12.0
2834
#38
49.70.4
50.149.7
Auto13.5
Teleop28.9
End6.8
Second
5010
#21
55.30.4
54.655.0
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End8.7
red by 7.8
5586
#53
47.40.4
45.845.4
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.0
Third
7657
#49
47.50.4
45.846.1
Auto13.6
Teleop25.5
End7.4
red by 25.2
9031
#66
22.30.4
21.120.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed