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Red168
438162.1
59948.5
910547.1
Blue122
271454.3
15731.1
353450.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162140050100200250300168122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#18
62.11.3
61.362.6
Auto17.7
Teleop35.3
End7.3
red by 7.8
2714
#60
54.31.1
53.252.0
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
Second
599
#30
48.51.3
45.947.2
Auto13.2
Teleop27.4
End7.5
blue by 1.8
3534
#36
50.31.1
49.248.1
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
Third
9105
#43
47.11.3
45.146.4
Auto11.6
Teleop26.7
End8.0
red by 16.0
157
#74
31.11.1
31.930.7
Auto11.8
Teleop14.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed