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Red164
6765.6
360335.4
448159.5
Blue169
170156.7
271454.3
519957.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17316650100150200250300164169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#11
65.60.2
66.766.8
Auto16.8
Teleop39.3
End7.4
red by 7.8
5199
#24
57.80.8
56.957.8
Auto12.9
Teleop34.9
End8.3
Second
4481
#34
59.50.2
58.458.6
Auto14.8
Teleop36.3
End7.0
red by 2.8
1701
#46
56.70.8
55.956.7
Auto13.6
Teleop32.1
End9.3
Third
3603
#44
35.40.2
35.235.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
blue by 18.8
2714
#60
54.30.8
52.052.8
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned