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Red197
300575.6
83651.6
353450.3
Blue136
15731.1
400943.3
672255.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181132100150200250197136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#17
75.62.2
72.975.1
Auto18.7
Teleop46.8
End7.0
red by 19.8
6722
#25
55.70.4
56.657.0
Auto15.3
Teleop33.1
End7.4
Second
836
#39
51.62.2
47.749.9
Auto13.5
Teleop28.6
End8.4
red by 8.3
4009
#37
43.30.4
42.943.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End6.1
Third
3534
#36
50.32.2
48.150.3
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
red by 19.2
157
#74
31.10.4
30.731.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned