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Red152
501055.3
233757.2
283039.9
Blue169
347665.1
111466.1
516664.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151204100250152169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#41
57.20.2
56.456.6
Auto13.3
Teleop34.6
End7.9
blue by 8.9
66.11.1
66.064.9
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
Second
5010
#21
55.30.2
55.055.3
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End8.7
blue by 9.9
65.11.1
66.365.2
Auto16.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
Third
2830
#58
39.90.2
39.739.9
Auto11.3
Teleop20.7
End7.3
blue by 24.3
5166
#16
64.21.1
65.264.2
Auto17.4
Teleop35.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed