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Red156
353648.4
322932.0
131865.7
Blue158
746156.7
46161.7
441555.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14918180100120140160200220240156158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#31
65.70.3
66.466.1
Auto16.1
Teleop39.6
End7.2
red by 4.0
461
#45
61.70.6
62.161.5
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
Second
3536
#29
48.40.3
48.748.4
Auto11.9
Teleop28.5
End7.0
blue by 8.3
7461
#22
56.70.6
56.656.0
Auto14.6
Teleop31.4
End8.5
Third
3229
#71
32.00.3
32.332.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End5.7
blue by 23.4
4415
#42
55.40.6
56.055.4
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned