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Red132
70223.8
910547.1
219447.3
Blue174
94850.1
167878.0
903122.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11816050100150200132174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#47
47.30.7
46.547.3
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End10.5
blue by 30.7
78.01.5
76.878.4
Auto18.6
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
9105
#43
47.10.7
46.447.1
Auto11.6
Teleop26.7
End8.0
blue by 3.0
948
#20
50.11.5
48.449.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.1
End8.4
Third
702
#75
23.80.7
23.123.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End5.4
red by 1.5
9031
#66
22.31.5
20.722.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned