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Red114
725840.6
271454.3
304230.0
Blue155
353951.1
116523.6
516664.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11315050100200114155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#60
54.30.2
46.746.9
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
blue by 9.9
5166
#16
64.20.5
59.560.0
Auto17.4
Teleop35.6
End7.7
Second
7258
#15
40.60.3
33.333.6
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End8.3
blue by 10.5
51.10.5
54.154.6
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End9.5
Third
3042
#56
30.00.2
30.430.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.9
red by 6.4
1165
#50
23.60.5
23.423.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned