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Red131
598534.3
283449.7
15731.1
Blue131
441555.4
912016.2
803361.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106136406080120160180131131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#38
49.7
Auto13.5
Teleop28.9
End6.8
blue by 11.5
8033
#19
61.2
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
5985
#55
34.3
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.2
blue by 21.1
4415
#42
55.4
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
Third
157
#74
31.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.6
End5.2
red by 14.9
9120
#72
16.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned