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Red127
94850.1
190234.1
263055.3
Blue149
399643.9
438162.1
442255.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134176100150200250127149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#14
55.30.3
53.252.9
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8
blue by 6.8
4381
#18
62.11.8
64.862.9
Auto17.7
Teleop35.3
End7.3
Second
948
#20
50.10.3
46.646.3
Auto12.7
Teleop29.1
End8.4
blue by 5.1
4422
#40
55.31.8
57.655.7
Auto13.5
Teleop32.2
End8.4
Third
1902
#68
34.10.3
31.431.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.9
blue by 9.8
3996
#23
43.92.2
41.639.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned99%Activation oddsEarned