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Qual 232023 Galileo Division
Red179
46161.7
801355.7
170156.7
Blue167
40156.8
353450.3
501055.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168172050100150200250300350179167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#45
61.71.4
60.5→61.8
Auto14.3
Teleop37.1
End7.1
red by 4.9
401
#67
56.80.4
57.5→57.9
Auto13.9
Teleop37.6
End3.7
Second
1701
#46
56.71.4
55.5→56.9
Auto13.6
Teleop32.1
End9.3
red by 1.4
5010
#21
55.30.4
55.8→56.1
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End8.7
Third
8013
#4
55.71.4
51.3→52.6
Auto13.8
Teleop32.2
End8.0
red by 5.4
3534
#36
50.30.4
49.2→49.6
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned