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Red137
580147.0
291074.5
261448.0
Blue144
725840.6
322932.0
516664.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011950100150200250137144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#51
74.52.0
74.472.4
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End8.7
red by 10.3
5166
#16
64.21.6
60.061.6
Auto17.4
Teleop35.6
End7.7
Second
2614
#61
48.02.0
49.547.5
Auto15.2
Teleop25.4
End6.3
red by 7.4
7258
#15Sur
40.61.8
33.635.4
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End8.3
Third
5801
#27Sur
47.02.0
45.943.9
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End9.3
red by 15.0
3229
#71
32.01.6
25.827.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned