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Red166
96838.8
347665.1
400943.3
Blue61
441555.4
903122.3
598534.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411135010015020016661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.12.1
60.162.2
Auto16.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
red by 9.7
4415
#42
55.43.3
56.753.5
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
Second
4009
#37
43.32.1
38.941.0
Auto10.9
Teleop25.5
End6.1
red by 9.0
5985
#55
34.33.3
27.824.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.2
Third
968
#35
38.82.1
29.932.1
Auto9.6
Teleop21.6
End8.1
red by 16.5
9031
#66
22.33.3
25.322.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed