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Red115
170833.0
261448.0
441555.4
Blue164
353450.3
442255.3
353951.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13817450100150200250115164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#42
55.41.2
53.552.2
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
red by 0.1
4422
#40
55.30.3
57.657.3
Auto13.5
Teleop32.2
End8.4
Second
2614
#61
48.01.2
47.546.3
Auto15.2
Teleop25.4
End6.3
blue by 3.1
51.10.3
54.654.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End9.5
Third
1708
#73
33.01.2
32.631.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End9.1
blue by 17.2
3534
#36
50.30.3
49.449.1
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned