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Red174
255147.4
271454.3
291074.5
Blue128
598759.4
283039.9
159162.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170154050100200250300174128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#51
74.51.1
72.473.5
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End8.7
red by 12.3
1591
#28
62.11.3
60.659.3
Auto17.2
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Second
2714
#60
54.31.1
47.949.0
Auto13.8
Teleop30.8
End8.4
blue by 5.2
5987
#33
59.41.3
57.155.9
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
Third
2551
#48
47.41.1
44.946.0
Auto11.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
red by 7.5
2830
#58
39.91.3
36.535.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned